Performances of reanalysis products in representing the temperature climatology of Ethiopia

Published Date
January 06, 2025
Type
Journal Article
Performances of reanalysis products in representing the temperature climatology of Ethiopia
Authors:
Tazebew Abera Tadesse
Temesgen Gashaw, Temesgen Gashaw, Ram Lakhan Ray, Gebrekidan Worku Tefera, Sintayehu Fetene Demessie, Sintayehu Fetene Demessie, Alemayehu Abate Shawul, Abeyou Wale Abeyou Worqlul, Pieter R. van Oel, Yihun T Dile, Abebe Demissie Chukalla, Amare Haileslassie, Endeg Aniley, Alehegn Belay Tagele, Amare Bantider

Identifying the most reliable reanalysis temperature products is crucial for advancing hydro-climate research in data-scarce regions. This study evaluated two widely used reanalysis datasets in estimating minimum temperature (Tmin) and maximum temperature (Tmax) across various Agro-Ecological Zones (AEZs) of Ethiopia at different temporal scales over the period 1990 to 2020. These datasets include the Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, version 2.0 (MERRA v2.0) and the fifth generation of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) reanalysis (ERA5). Evaluations was undertaken at each AEZs using five statistical metrics, scatter plots and line graphs by the data collected from 37 meteorological stations. The results indicate that MERRA v2.0 demonstrates superior performance in simulating Tmin across daily, monthly, and annual temporal scales in most AEZs, based on the majority or entirety of the evaluation metrics. For Tmax, MERRA v2.0 performs best on an annual scale, while ERA5 shows better performance on a daily scale. However, both reanalysis products exhibit comparable performance in estimating monthly Tmax. Notably, the performance of the reanalysis datasets varies across different AEZs. In general, the findings underscore the importance of selecting the most suitable reanalysis datasets for Tmin and Tmax separately, tailored to specific temporal scales and AEZs, to improve hydrology and/or climate studies in data scarce portions of the country.

Citation:
Tazebew Tadesse, Temesgen Gashaw, Ram Ray, Gebrekidan Worku Tefera, Sintayehu Fetene Demessie, Alemayehu Shawul, Abeyou Abeyou, Pieter R. van Oel, Yihun T Dile, Abebe Demissie Chukalla, Amare Haileslassie, Endeg Aniley, Alehegn Tagele, Amare Bantider. (6/1/2025). Performances of reanalysis products in representing the temperature climatology of Ethiopia. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 156.
Keywords:
statistical software
climate sciences
applied statistics
site-specific performance
climate and earth system modelling
econometrics